RETAIL DIESEL US$5.64/gal+0.08HENRY HUB$2.83-0.04WAHA HUB YTD-$1.84NEGATIVEBRENT$106.20+1.10DGE FEEDSTOCK$0.38HORMUZCLOSED (DAY 81)LNG DELIVERED$1.05-1.20/DGESPREAD vs DIESEL4.8×CA REFINING LOST-554,000 bpdRETAIL DIESEL US$5.64/gal+0.08HENRY HUB$2.83-0.04WAHA HUB YTD-$1.84NEGATIVEBRENT$106.20+1.10DGE FEEDSTOCK$0.38HORMUZCLOSED (DAY 81)LNG DELIVERED$1.05-1.20/DGESPREAD vs DIESEL4.8×CA REFINING LOST-554,000 bpd
TOOL · STAGE 1 · TCO ANALYZER

Five-year cost of ownership: diesel vs LNG.

Fleet-specific economics with the IRA subsidy stack overlaid. Conservative inputs — adjust the diesel forecast and Waha discount to your view. Output is a shareable PDF.
Five-year fleet savings · LNG vs diesel
$40.1M
A fleet of 100 tractors running 110,000 miles/year saves $400,685 per tractor over five years. Payback on the X15N premium: 4.8 months.
Fuel cost · diesel
$49.1M
5-yr total · all tractors
Fuel cost · LNG (net of IRA)
$5.5M
5-yr total · all tractors
Conversion capex
$3.5M
X15N premium · all tractors

Cumulative fleet fuel cost · 5 years

DIESELLNG (NET)
$0$13.5M$27.0M$40.5M$54.0MYR 0YR 1YR 2YR 3YR 4YR 5$49.1M$9.0M
Calculation assumptions
1 DGE138,690 BTU
1 MMBtu nat gas≈ 7.5 DGE
X15N efficiency vs diesel~5% fuel penalty
Diesel forecast basisHagens/Berman structural
LNG delivered (full chain)feedstock + liquefaction + transport + retail
IRA credit basisDGE · 5 years applied